Journal article

Epidemiological modelling of the health and economic effects of COVID-19 control in Australia's second wave

R Quentin Grafton, John Parslow, Tom Kompas, Kathryn Glass, Emily Banks

JOURNAL OF PUBLIC HEALTH-HEIDELBERG | SPRINGER HEIDELBERG | Published : 2021

Abstract

Background: We investigated the public health and economy outcomes of different levels of social distancing to control a 'second wave' outbreak in Australia and identify implications for public health management of COVID-19. Methods: Individual-based and compartment models were used to simulate the effects of different social distancing and detection strategies on Australian COVID-19 infections and the economy from March to July 2020. These models were used to evaluate the effects of different social distancing levels and the early relaxation of suppression measures, in terms of public health and economy outcomes. Results: The models, fitted to observations up to July 2020, yielded projectio..

View full abstract

University of Melbourne Researchers