Journal article
Quantifying the contribution of an individual to making extreme weather events more likely
FC Lott, A Ciavarella, JJ Kennedy, AD King, PA Stott, SFB Tett, D Wang
Environmental Research Letters | Published : 2021
Abstract
Probabilistic event attribution aims to quantify the role of anthropogenic climate change in altering the intensity or probability of extreme climate and weather events. It was originally conceived to calculate the costs associated with any increased likelihood of the meteorological event in question. However, only recently have such studies attempted to divide liability between polluting nations and ascribe a cost. Recent protests indicate a perception that older generations have the greater responsibility for climate change. In this paper, we examine how a portion of the cost of an event can be attributed to any individual person, according to their age and nationality. We demonstrate that..
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Awarded by Horizon 2020 Framework Programme
Funding Acknowledgements
Thanks to Stephen Belcher, Jason Lowe, Stephen P Haddad and Stuart Fox for advice and encouragement in the drafting of this manuscript. Thanks also to Rachel James, who conceived that this work might be used to suggest charitable donations, and to our editor and reviewers. This work was supported by the EUPHEME project, which is part of the ERA4CS, an ERA-NET initiated by JPI Climate and co-funded by the European Union (Grant 690462). It was also supported by the Met Office Hadley Centre Climate Programme, funded by BEIS and Defra. A D K was supported by the Australian Research Council (DE180100638) and acknowledges support from the Australian Research Council Centre of Excellence for Climate Extremes. SFBT was supported by the U.K.-China Research and Innovation Partnership Fund through the Met Office Climate Science for Service Partnership (CSSP) China as part of the Newton Fund. D W was funded by the National R&D Program of China (2018YFC1507702).