Development and Validation of the Medical Emergency Team-Risk Prediction Model for Clinical Deterioration in Acute Hospital Patients, at Time of an Emergency Admission

Abstract

OBJECTIVES: To develop and validate a prediction model to estimate the risk of Medical Emergency Team (MET) review, within 48 hours of an emergency admission, using information routinely available at the time of hospital admission. DESIGN: Development and validation of a multivariable risk model using prospectively collected data. Transparent Reporting of a multivariable model for Individual Prognosis Or Diagnosis recommendations were followed to develop and report the prediction model. SETTING: A 560-bed teaching hospital, with a 22-bed ICU and 24-hour Emergency Department in Melbourne, Australia. PATIENTS: A total of 45,170 emergency admissions of 30,064 adult patients (≥18 yr), with an in..