Estimating the impact of scaling up workforce personnel on global cancer mortality from 2030 to 2050: a simulation-based analysis of 17 cancers and 18 personnel types

Abstract

Background The global burden of cancer continues to rise, disproportionately affecting low-income and middle-income countries, where cancer workforce shortages are especially acute and contribute to poor outcomes. In this analysis, we estimate the effect on cancer mortality of scaling up specific workforce personnel types in order to provide global, regional, and country-specific guidance to inform cancer workforce policy. Methods Using the Global Cancer Workforce microsimulation model, which accounts for demographic, epidemiological, and health system factors related to cancer incidence and survival, we modelled the projected effect of scaling up 18 specific workforce personnel types on tot..