Testing the Ultra High Risk (prodromal) criteria for the prediction of psychosis in a clinical sample of young people

Abstract

Criteria for identifying individuals at imminent risk for onset of a psychotic disorder, that is "prodromal" for psychosis, have recently been described. The current study set out to test the predictive validity of these criteria in a sample of help-seeking young people aged 15-24 years who were referred to, but not necessarily treated at, a psychiatric service. Ultra High Risk (UHR) status was determined at baseline and psychosis status was assessed at 6 month follow up. Baseline psychosocial functioning was also assessed as a possible predictor of psychosis. In the sample of 292 individuals, 119 (40.7%) met UHR criteria. Of these UHR+ people, 12 became psychotic within 6 months and 107 did..