Components of the metabolic syndrome predictive of its development: A 6-year longitudinal study in Hong Kong Chinese

Abstract

Objective: To investigate which of the components of the metabolic syndrome best predict its development. Design: Long-term cohort of randomly selected adults. Patients: One thousand five hundred and forty-eight subjects from the Hong Kong Cardiovascular Risk Factor Prevalence Study who did not have the metabolic syndrome by the US National Cholesterol Education Program (NCEP) or International Diabetes Federation (IDF) criteria at baseline. Measurements: Waist circumference, blood pressure, glucose, triglycerides and high-density lipoprotein-cholesterol (HDL). Results: After a median interval of 6.4 years, there were 219 and 143 new cases (21.9 and 14.3 per 1000 person-years) of the metaboli..