Risk-adjusted continuous outcome monitoring with an EWMA chart: could it have detected excess mortality among intensive care patients at Bundaberg Base Hospital?

Abstract

Objective: To test whether applying a continuous riskadjusted charting method, using an exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) chart, would have been useful for monitoring outcomes of patients admitted to the intensive care unit at Bundaberg Base Hospital, Queensland, between November 2000 and December 2005. Design, setting and participants: An EWMA chart was constructed to show the change in observed compared with predicted mortality over time, using data submitted to the Australian and New Zealand Intensive Care Society Adult Patient Database. Limitations and practical implications of this monitoring technique were evaluated and compared with a routine monitoring technique using the ..