Forecasting Tropical Cyclone Formation in the Fiji Region: A Probit Regression Approach Using Bayesian Fitting
Savin S Chand, Kevin JE Walsh
Weather and Forecasting | AMER METEOROLOGICAL SOC | Published : 2011
We would like to acknowledge Johnny Chan of the Guy Carpenter Asia-Pacific Climate Impact Centre for inspiring this work. We greatly appreciate constructive comments by Elizabeth Ebert of the Australian Centre for Weather and Climate Research (CAWCR) on forecast verification procedures. The authors are also thankful to the Fiji Meteorological Services for providing cyclone data for the Fiji region. We also thank the University of Melbourne for providing partial funding for this work. The first author also appreciates the Australian government sponsored Endeavour Postgraduate Award for funding his doctorate degree at the University of Melbourne. Finally, we appreciate the comments of three anonymous reviewers.