Journal article

The RCP greenhouse gas concentrations and their extensions from 1765 to 2300

M Meinshausen, SJ Smith, K Calvin, JS Daniel, MLT Kainuma, J Lamarque, K Matsumoto, SA Montzka, SCB Raper, K Riahi, A Thomson, GJM Velders, DPP van Vuuren

Climatic Change | Published : 2011

Abstract

We present the greenhouse gas concentrations for the Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs) and their extensions beyond 2100, the Extended Concentration Pathways (ECPs). These projections include all major anthropogenic greenhouse gases and are a result of a multi-year effort to produce new scenarios for climate change research. We combine a suite of atmospheric concentration observations and emissions estimates for greenhouse gases (GHGs) through the historical period (1750-2005) with harmonized emissions projected by four different Integrated Assessment Models for 2005-2100. As concentrations are somewhat dependent on the future climate itself (due to climate feedbacks in the carbon ..

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University of Melbourne Researchers