Journal article
Structured elicitation of expert judgments for threatened species assessment: A case study on a continental scale using email
MF McBride, ST Garnett, JK Szabo, AH Burbidge, SHM Butchart, L Christidis, G Dutson, HA Ford, RH Loyn, DM Watson, MA Burgman
Methods in Ecology and Evolution | Published : 2012
Abstract
Expert knowledge is used routinely to inform listing decisions under the IUCN Red List criteria. Differences in opinion arise between experts in the presence of epistemic uncertainty, as a result of different interpretations of incomplete information and differences in individual beliefs, values and experiences. Structured expert elicitation aims to anticipate and account for such differences to increase the accuracy of final estimates. A diverse panel of 16 experts independently evaluated up to 125 parameters per taxon to assess the IUCN Red List category of extinction risk for nine Australian bird taxa. Each panellist was provided with the same baseline data. Additional judgments and advic..
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Awarded by Australian Research Council Linkage Grant
Awarded by Australian Research Council
Funding Acknowledgements
The authors would like to thank all the panellists and taxon specialists who devoted their time and expertise to participating in this exercise. We also thank Resit Akcakaya for his advice on framing the elicitation questions and Raquel Ashton for helpful ideas and advice. This research was supported by the Australian Centre of Excellence for Risk Analysis (ACERA), Australian Research Council Linkage Grant LP0990395 and Charles Darwin University.