Pandemic controllability: a concept to guide a proportionate and flexible operational response to future influenza pandemics
JM McCaw, K Glass, GN Mercer, J McVernon
JOURNAL OF PUBLIC HEALTH | OXFORD UNIV PRESS | Published : 2014
The 2009 H1N1 influenza pandemic posed challenges for governments worldwide. Strategies designed to limit community transmission, such as antiviral deployment, were largely ineffective due to both feasibility constraints and the generally mild nature of disease, resulting in incomplete case ascertainment. Reviews of national pandemic plans have identified pandemic impact, primarily linked to measures of transmissibility and severity, as a key concept to incorporate into the next generation of plans. While an assessment of impact provides the rationale under which interventions may be warranted, it does not directly provide an assessment on whether particular interventions may be effective. S..View full abstract
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This work was funded by a contract with the Office of Health Protection, Australian Government Department of Health and Ageing. James McCaw is supported by an Australian Research Council Future Fellowship with additional support provided by the Defense Science Institute.