Journal article

Predicting distribution changes of a mire ecosystem under future climates

David A Keith, Jane Elith, Christopher C Simpson

Diversity and Distributions: a journal of conservation biogeography | Wiley | Published : 2014


Aim Mire ecosystems are threatened by global climate change but have important roles in biodiversity conservation, carbon storage, landscape‐scale hydrological function and in providing ecosystem services. We aimed to: (1) estimate change in areas environmentally suitable for mires under future climates; (2) evaluate the sensitivities of projected change to uncertainties in future climate and model structure; (3) evaluate the effect of global mitigation actions on distribution change; (4) identify potential climate refuges for future adaptation actions. Methods We developed and evaluated correlative bioclimatic models for an Australian mire ecosystem by: (1) selecting environmental predicto..

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University of Melbourne Researchers