Journal article

Childhood vaccine purchase costs in the public sector: Past trends, future expectations

MM Davis, JL Zimmerman, JRC Wheeler, GL Freed

AMERICAN JOURNAL OF PUBLIC HEALTH | AMER PUBLIC HEALTH ASSOC INC | Published : 2002

Abstract

OBJECTIVES: We examined recent public-sector trends in childhood vaccine costs and estimated future costs. METHODS: We used public-sector price data to calculate vaccine purchase cost per child for children aged 0 to 6 years from 1975 to 2001. We fit a linear regression model to historical data and then used it to project costs per child from 2002 to 2020, adjusted to 2001 US dollars. RESULTS: Controlling for inflation, the cost of vaccine purchase per child climbed from $10 in 1975 to $385 in 2001. The cost of vaccine purchase in the year 2020 following recommendation of 7 additional vaccines is estimated to be $1225 per child (95% confidence interval = $891, $1559). CON..

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