Reducing the risk of house loss due to wildfires
TD Penman, AE Nicholson, RA Bradstock, L Collins, SH Penman, OF Price
Environmental Modelling & Software | ELSEVIER SCI LTD | Published : 2015
Wildfires will continue to reach people and property regardless of management effort in the landscape. House-based strategies are therefore required to complement the landscape strategies in order to reduce the extent of house loss. Here we use a Bayesian Network approach to quantify the relative influence of preventative and suppressive management strategies on the probability of house loss in Australia. Community education had a limited effect on the extent to which residents prepared their property hence a limited effect on the reduction in risk of house loss, however hypothetically improving property preparedness did reduce the risk of house loss. Increasing expenditure on suppression re..View full abstract
The work was funded by the NSW Rural Fire Service. The probability elicitation exercise was approved by the University of Wollongong of Human Research Ethics Committee approval number HE12/149. All participants in the elicitation provided written consent prior to the exercise. Anonymity of participants has been guaranteed.