Journal article

Modelling the determinants of ignition in the Sydney Basin, Australia: implications for future management

TD Penman, RA Bradstock, O Price

INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF WILDLAND FIRE | CSIRO PUBLISHING | Published : 2013

Abstract

Variations in area burnt by fire are governed by four processes: biomass growth, availability to burn, fire weather and ignitions. Insight into these how these processes are shaped by biophysical and human influences is required to underpin the development of effective management strategies. Patterns of natural and arson ignitions were examined within the densely populated Sydney region of south-eastern Australia to determine the extent to which management can alter the risk of ignition. Arson ignitions were more likely on ridges in association with human infrastructure, i.e. roads and houses. Lightning ignitions also occurred more frequently on ridges, but at greater distances from human in..

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University of Melbourne Researchers

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Funding Acknowledgements

The study was funded by the NSW Rural Fire Service. Data for the analysis were provided by the NSW Rural Fire Service and NSW Office of Environment and Heritage (formerly NSW Department of Environment, Climate Change and Water). Sandra Penman provided comments on an early draft of this manuscript.