Prediction of vein connectivity using the percolation approach: Model test with field data

Abstract

Evaluating the uncertainty in fracture connectivity and its effect on the flow behaviour of natural fracture networks formed under in situ conditions is an extremely difficult task. One widely used probabilistic approach is to use percolation theory, which is well adapted to estimate the connectivity and conductivity of geometrical objects near the percolation threshold. In this paper, we apply scaling laws from percolation theory to predict the connectivity of vein sets exposed on the southern margin of the Bristol Channel Basin. Two vein sets in a limestone bed interbedded with shales on the limb of a rollover fold were analysed for length, spacing and aperture distributions. Eight scan li..