Journal article

The capacity of refugia for conservation planning under climate change

Gunnar Keppel, Karel Mokany, Grant W Wardell-Johnson, Ben L Phillips, Justin A Welbergen, April E Reside

Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment | ECOLOGICAL SOC AMER | Published : 2015

Abstract

Refugia - areas that may facilitate the persistence of species during large-scale, long-term climatic change - are increasingly important for conservation planning. There are many methods for identifying refugia, but the ability to quantify their potential for facilitating species persistence (ie their "capacity") remains elusive. We propose a flexible framework for prioritizing future refugia, based on their capacity. This framework can be applied through various modeling approaches and consists of three steps: (1) definition of scope, scale, and resolution; (2) identification and quantification; and (3) prioritization for conservation. Capacity is quantified by multiple indicators, includi..

View full abstract

University of Melbourne Researchers